Tougher Smartphone Market in EMEA in 2017 Sees Emerging Markets Slow But Apple Gains

Release time:2018-04-19
author:Ameya360
source:IDC
reading:1051

  The EMEA mobile phone market saw smartphone volumes fall for a second year in 2017, while there was a relative boom in shipments of lowly feature phones, a reversal of the previous trend.

  Smartphone volumes were down modestly at 361 million, against 374 million in 2016. Feature phone shipments rose by 8.7% to 206 million. Smartphone market value was marginally lower in dollar terms at $109 billion, though the drop was more pronounced in euros, at €96 billion, against €101 billion in 2016.

  "Looking at the European market of the European Union, Norway, and Switzerland, consumers are spending more money on phones even as they buy them less frequently. This is true of countries in both Western and Central Europe," said Simon Baker, program director of mobile phone research in IDC CEMA. In a year when the European economy showed shoots of recovery, and the euro rose against the dollar, the drop underlined the pressures as the smartphone business matures.

  Apple managed to stand out in a difficult market, commented Susana Santos, senior research analyst at IDC Western Europe. The premium iPhone X was only launched in November but added some $4.3 billion to Apple sales in the European market across the year, over a sixth of the annual Apple total. Sales in the more affluent Western European countries were overall flat, though Germany stood out, but overall in EMEA the shipment value of Apple iPhones rose to 37.5% of total smartphone value, on sales of 57 million iPhones across the year, up from 34.2% of the market value and 54.8 million iPhones in 2016.

  The competition to Samsung from Huawei helped to revitalize the top end of the Android market, and in Europe sales of Android phones above $700 (€619 in 2017) were up by a fifth from 2016. But there was a trend to keep older premium models in production at lower prices to keep volumes buoyant as consumers looked for better value in their phone purchases. Samsung continued to dominate Android sales in EMEA and in 2017 held on to a two-fifth share, while Huawei's challenge slowed, with the Android share only slightly above that of the previous year at 13.4%. The relaunch of the Nokia brand by HMD saw it reestablish itself in many of the countries of old Nokia strength; over half of its global smartphone sales were within EMEA.

  Other key trends in the EMEA market in 2017:

  While the decline in the smartphone market has already been evident in the more developed markets of Western and Central Europe, many of the emerging markets of EMEA are now seeing the same contraction, even though many are far from saturated by smartphones.

  Despite the regional market being dominated in demographic terms by Africa's 1.2 billion population, in 2017 there was no increase in the entry-level segment of the smartphone market. This has been to the detriment of several smartphone players, among them Alcatel and Lenovo, which had targeted the entry-level and saw their positions suffer during the year.

  Feature phones are no longer in rapid decline. Not only are they showing a strong resurgence in Africa, their sales volumes are falling more slowly than before across Europe.

  While the Middle East market is still subdued in the aftermath of the oil price drop, the market in Russia has risen back up to near the same dollar value as before the 2014 ruble slump despite the lower exchange value of the local currency.

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Smartphone Market Decline of 2.9% in Shipments During the First Quarter of 2018
According to preliminary data from the International Data Corporation (IDC) Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, smartphone vendors shipped a total of 334.3 million units during the first quarter of 2018 (1Q18), resulting in a 2.9% decline when compared to the 344.4 million units shipped in the first quarter of 2017. The China market was the biggest driver of this decline with shipment volumes dipping below 100 million in the quarter, which hasn't happened since the third quarter of 2013."Globally, as well as in China, a key bellwether, smartphone consumers are trading up to more premium devices, but there are no longer as many new smartphone converts, resulting in shipments dropping," said Melissa Chau, associate research director with IDC's Worldwide Mobile Device Trackers. "When we look at it from a dollar value perspective, the smartphone market is still climbing and will continue to grow over the years to come as consumers are increasingly reliant on these devices for the bulk of their computing needs.""Despite new flagships from the likes of Samsung and Huawei, along with the first full quarter of iPhone X shipments, consumers looked unwilling to shell out big money for the latest and greatest devices on the market," said Anthony Scarsella, research manager with IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker. "The abundance of ultra-high-end flagships with big price tags released over the past 12-18 months has most likely halted the upgrade cycle in the near term. It now looks as if consumers are not willing to shell out this kind of money for a new device that brings minimal upgrades over their current device. Looking forward, more affordable premium devices might be the solution the market needs in the second half of the year to drive shipments back in a positive direction."Smartphone Company HighlightsSamsung remained the leader in the worldwide smartphone market grabbing 23.4% share despite experiencing a 2.4% decline from Q1 2017. The new S9 and S9+ led the way as the new flagships launched a quarter early for the Korean giant compared to last year’s S8/S8+. Although the new flagships shipped late in the quarter, brisk initial sales of the new devices kept the overall yearly decline at a minimum as the bulk of the positive impact is expected to arrive in Q2 2018. Despite the late launch, the high-priced devices should significantly boost average selling prices (ASPs) in the quarter for Samsung. Outside of the new flagships, the A series and J series continued to drive most of the key volume in both developed and emerging markets.Apple's first quarter saw the iPhone maker move 52.2 million iPhones representing a modest 2.8% year-over-year increase from the 50.8 million units shipped last year. Despite rumors of an underperforming iPhone X in the quarter, Apple stated that the iPhone X was the most popular model each week in the March quarter. The success of the more expensive iPhone X combined with healthy sales of the iPhone 8 and 8 Plus helped grow ASPs 11.1% to $728, up from $655 last year. Rumors of three new bezel-less iPhones arriving this September are expected to bring new features such as a larger AMOLED display model, a more affordable mid-tier model, and increased performance and imaging capabilities across the board.Huawei climbed to a new market share high of 11.8% even as it remained in third overall. Huawei has toed the line between maintaining a strong domestic position while slowly upscaling its brand image in international markets with dividends paying off as it beat the average global growth rate, reaching 13.8% year over year. While its high-end smartphones are popular in China, the bulk of its shipments are of the more affordable class of smartphones, and it also introduced a few new models in the low-end and mid-range segments. Outside of China, Huawei is growing and gaining market share across the Western Europe region, an otherwise declining market, and is particularly strong in Spain, Germany, and Italy. In these markets, the Lite versions continue to be the company's bestselling devices, but the P10 and the Mate 10 range are in a much better position compared to predecessors P9 and Mate 9. The share of the midrange and ultra-high-end devices improved substantially year over year. Huawei is in a strong position to compete at the higher end of the smartphone arena with the opportunity to grow its share in Europe. Huawei also reintroduced its Honor brand in a couple of markets in Southeast Asia, where the high-end P series and Mate series are less popular.Xiaomi's strong performance has no doubt been due to its strong growth outside of China with 1Q18 the first quarter that less than half of its shipments were domestic, a transition that very few Chinese companies have reached. Xiaomi continues its retail expansion in India and Southeast Asia; however online channels remain the key contributor in India, its second largest market. Its low-end Redmi 5A made up almost two-fifths of its volume in India. In its commitment to the "Make in India" campaign, Xiaomi also recently announced PCB assembly in India, becoming the second vendor after Samsung to do so.OPPO held the fifth position with its year-over-year decline of 7.5% more a result of the China slowdown than of its performance overseas, as both share and shipment volumes abroad increased in the first quarter. OPPO has also pruned some of its retail partnerships to focus on those with higher contribution to sales. To counter Xiaomi's strong growth in the India market, OPPO has also shifted some focus to online channels where it had been solely focused on offline channels in the past. Worldwide Smartphone Market, Top 5 Company Shipments, Market Share and Year-over-Year Growth, Q1 2018 (shipments in millions)Company1Q18 Shipment Volume1Q18 Market Share1Q17 Shipment Volume1Q17 Market ShareYear-Over-Year ChangeSamsung78.223.4%80.123.3%-2.4%Apple52.215.6%50.814.7%2.8%Huawei39.311.8%34.510.0%13.8%Xiaomi28.08.4%14.84.3%87.8%OPPO23.97.1%25.87.5%-7.5%Others112.733.7%138.340.2%-18.5%Total334.3100.0%344.4100.0%-2.9%Source: IDC Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, May 2, 2018
2018-05-04 00:00 reading:906
China's smartphone market plunges; Apple falls out of the country's top-4 sellers
China's smartphone sales saw a record decline in the first quarter of 2018, according to a new report by independent analyst company Canalys.According to the report published Thursday, smartphone shipments in China saw a 21 percent decline annually to 91 million units, with eight of the top 10 vendors experiencing a fall in sales.Apple saw itself displaced once again from its No.4 position by local brand Xiaomi, which was the brand that saw the biggest growth in shipments — by 37 percent to 12 million units sold. (Apple had edged ahead of Xiaomi by a slim margin in the fourth quarter of 2017, according to Canalys.)Top spot holder Huawei, including its Honor brand, also managed to grow shipments by 2 percent.The report showed that China's smartphone segment is increasingly being dominated by four domestic players: Huawei, Oppo, Vivo and Xiaomi. The companies accounted for more than 73 percent of total shipments in China for the first quarter.Vendors outside the top five, meanwhile, saw their market share slide to 19 percent in the recent quarter, the report said, and more consolidation in the space is expected."The costs of marketing and channel management in a country as big as China are huge, and only vendors that have reached a certain size can cope," said Mo Jia, an analyst at Canalys."While Huawei, Oppo, Vivo and Xiaomi must contend with a shrinking market, they can take comfort from the fact that it will continue to consolidate," he added.The latest report, however, should not come as a surprise. Earlier this year, analyst Nicole Peng of Canalys spoke to CNBC's "Squawk Box" and said Huawei and Xiaomi are "the bright spots" in China.That was corroborated in the report by Canalys analyst Hattie He, who said "Xiaomi is the only vendor in the top-5 that is focused on the sub-RMB1,000 (about $160) price segment and it owes close to 90 percent of its shipments to Redmi," in reference to the company's line of budget smartphones.The report did, however, say a return to growth is expected in the upcoming quarter, with Oppo, Vivo and Huawei expected to launch new flagship devices.The inventory issues that Oppo and Vivo experienced in the fourth and first quarters "are now behind them," said Jia."New smartphones will definitely entice people to upgrade, but vendors are more careful of avoiding oversupply in the channel," he said, adding that the market could see "a short period of stagnancy" as players refocused on research and development efforts instead of marketing products.
2018-04-27 00:00 reading:1030
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